January 2, 2023

2023 New South Wales Election Power Rankings

2023 New South Wales Election Power Rankings
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UPDATED: 10 Feb 2023

Our Methodology

Making seat by seat predictions in a New South Wales context is difficult, polling data is sparse and the diverse makeup of the state delivers ostensibly similar electorates with vastly different issues.

To make the most accurate predictions we consulted electoral experts from different jurisdictions to determine best-in-class practice. As a result, we have built a model taking into account a number of different factors, some of these include:

  • Partisan Voter Index
  • Polling
  • Fundraising
  • Incumbency
  • Challengers
  • Leader Popularity/Approval Rating
  • Volunteers
  • Odds
  • Advertising Spend
  • Qualitative Factors

Of course, elections always provide surprises and no methodology is flawless. However, we hope that hedging our analysis across a variety of factors will provide your organisation with the best possible vision to mitigate against any surprises and give you more detail than a traditional 2PP poll.

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